Ningxia Building (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.03
| 600449 Stock | 15.08 0.10 0.67% |
Ningxia |
Ningxia Building Target Price Odds to finish below 15.03
The tendency of Ningxia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 15.03 or more in 90 days |
| 15.08 | 90 days | 15.03 | about 86.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ningxia Building to drop to 15.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.69 (This Ningxia Building Materials probability density function shows the probability of Ningxia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ningxia Building Mat price to stay between 15.03 and its current price of 15.08 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ningxia Building Materials has a beta of -0.31. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ningxia Building are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ningxia Building Materials is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ningxia Building Materials has an alpha of 0.7763, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ningxia Building Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ningxia Building
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ningxia Building Mat. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ningxia Building Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ningxia Building is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ningxia Building's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ningxia Building Materials, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ningxia Building within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Ningxia Building Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ningxia Building for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ningxia Building Mat can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ningxia Building Mat appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ningxia Building Mat is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ningxia Orient Tantalum Industry Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price - Simply Wall St |
Ningxia Building Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ningxia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ningxia Building's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ningxia Building's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 478.2 M |
Ningxia Building Technical Analysis
Ningxia Building's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ningxia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ningxia Building Materials. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ningxia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ningxia Building Predictive Forecast Models
Ningxia Building's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ningxia Building's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ningxia Building's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ningxia Building Mat
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ningxia Building for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ningxia Building Mat help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ningxia Building Mat appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ningxia Building Mat is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ningxia Orient Tantalum Industry Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Ningxia Stock
Ningxia Building financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ningxia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ningxia with respect to the benefits of owning Ningxia Building security.