Sichuan Chuantou (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.45
| 600674 Stock | 17.15 0.34 1.94% |
Sichuan |
Sichuan Chuantou Target Price Odds to finish below 14.45
The tendency of Sichuan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 14.45 or more in 90 days |
| 17.15 | 90 days | 14.45 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sichuan Chuantou to drop to 14.45 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sichuan Chuantou Energy probability density function shows the probability of Sichuan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sichuan Chuantou Energy price to stay between 14.45 and its current price of 17.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sichuan Chuantou Energy has a beta of -0.17. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sichuan Chuantou are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sichuan Chuantou Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sichuan Chuantou Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sichuan Chuantou Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sichuan Chuantou
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sichuan Chuantou Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sichuan Chuantou Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sichuan Chuantou is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sichuan Chuantou's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sichuan Chuantou Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sichuan Chuantou within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Sichuan Chuantou Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sichuan Chuantou for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sichuan Chuantou Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sichuan Chuantou generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Sichuan Chuantou Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sichuan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sichuan Chuantou's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sichuan Chuantou's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.6 B |
Sichuan Chuantou Technical Analysis
Sichuan Chuantou's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sichuan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sichuan Chuantou Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sichuan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sichuan Chuantou Predictive Forecast Models
Sichuan Chuantou's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sichuan Chuantou's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sichuan Chuantou's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sichuan Chuantou Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sichuan Chuantou for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sichuan Chuantou Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sichuan Chuantou generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Sichuan Stock
Sichuan Chuantou financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sichuan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sichuan with respect to the benefits of owning Sichuan Chuantou security.