Harbin Hatou (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.04
| 600864 Stock | 7.44 0.11 1.46% |
Harbin |
Harbin Hatou Target Price Odds to finish over 5.04
The tendency of Harbin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 5.04 in 90 days |
| 7.44 | 90 days | 5.04 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Harbin Hatou to stay above 5.04 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Harbin Hatou Investment probability density function shows the probability of Harbin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Harbin Hatou Investment price to stay between 5.04 and its current price of 7.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Harbin Hatou has a beta of 0.043. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Harbin Hatou average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Harbin Hatou Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Harbin Hatou Investment has an alpha of 0.7518, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Harbin Hatou Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Harbin Hatou
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harbin Hatou Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Harbin Hatou Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Harbin Hatou is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Harbin Hatou's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Harbin Hatou Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Harbin Hatou within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Harbin Hatou Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Harbin Hatou for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Harbin Hatou Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Harbin Hatou had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Harbin Hatou Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Harbin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Harbin Hatou's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harbin Hatou's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Harbin Hatou Technical Analysis
Harbin Hatou's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Harbin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Harbin Hatou Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Harbin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Harbin Hatou Predictive Forecast Models
Harbin Hatou's time-series forecasting models is one of many Harbin Hatou's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Harbin Hatou's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Harbin Hatou Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Harbin Hatou for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Harbin Hatou Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Harbin Hatou had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Harbin Stock
Harbin Hatou financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harbin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harbin with respect to the benefits of owning Harbin Hatou security.