360 Security (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.82

601360 Stock   13.31  0.16  1.19%   
360 Security's future price is the expected price of 360 Security instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 360 Security Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 360 Security Backtesting, 360 Security Valuation, 360 Security Correlation, 360 Security Hype Analysis, 360 Security Volatility, 360 Security History as well as 360 Security Performance.
  
Please specify 360 Security's target price for which you would like 360 Security odds to be computed.

360 Security Target Price Odds to finish below 7.82

The tendency of 360 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  7.82  or more in 90 days
 13.31 90 days 7.82 
about 22.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 360 Security to drop to  7.82  or more in 90 days from now is about 22.15 (This 360 Security Technology probability density function shows the probability of 360 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 360 Security Technology price to stay between  7.82  and its current price of 13.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 360 Security Technology has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 360 Security are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, 360 Security Technology is likely to outperform the market. Moreover 360 Security Technology has an alpha of 1.0921, implying that it can generate a 1.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   360 Security Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 360 Security

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 360 Security Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.2013.2818.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.1310.2115.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.1312.2017.28
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.09-0.020.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 360 Security. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 360 Security's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 360 Security's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 360 Security Technology.

360 Security Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 360 Security is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 360 Security's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 360 Security Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 360 Security within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
2.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

360 Security Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 360 Security for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 360 Security Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
360 Security is way too risky over 90 days horizon
360 Security appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 9.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (492.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.73 B.
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Best Indoor Security Cameras for 2024 - CNET

360 Security Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 360 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 360 Security's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 360 Security's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.1 B

360 Security Technical Analysis

360 Security's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 360 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 360 Security Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing 360 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

360 Security Predictive Forecast Models

360 Security's time-series forecasting models is one of many 360 Security's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 360 Security's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 360 Security Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about 360 Security for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 360 Security Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
360 Security is way too risky over 90 days horizon
360 Security appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 9.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (492.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.73 B.
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Best Indoor Security Cameras for 2024 - CNET

Other Information on Investing in 360 Stock

360 Security financial ratios help investors to determine whether 360 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 360 with respect to the benefits of owning 360 Security security.