LK Engineering (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 223.5

6139 Stock  TWD 217.00  1.50  0.69%   
LK Engineering's future price is the expected price of LK Engineering instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LK Engineering Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LK Engineering Backtesting, LK Engineering Valuation, LK Engineering Correlation, LK Engineering Hype Analysis, LK Engineering Volatility, LK Engineering History as well as LK Engineering Performance.
  
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LK Engineering Target Price Odds to finish over 223.5

The tendency of 6139 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 223.50  or more in 90 days
 217.00 90 days 223.50 
about 51.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LK Engineering to move over NT$ 223.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 51.0 (This LK Engineering Co probability density function shows the probability of 6139 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LK Engineering price to stay between its current price of NT$ 217.00  and NT$ 223.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LK Engineering Co has a beta of -0.0706. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LK Engineering are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LK Engineering Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LK Engineering Co has an alpha of 0.0347, implying that it can generate a 0.0347 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   LK Engineering Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LK Engineering

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LK Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
214.43217.00219.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
182.34184.91238.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
206.68209.25211.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
213.32227.55241.78
Details

LK Engineering Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LK Engineering is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LK Engineering's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LK Engineering Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LK Engineering within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
9.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

LK Engineering Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LK Engineering for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LK Engineering can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

LK Engineering Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 6139 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LK Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LK Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding225.5 M

LK Engineering Technical Analysis

LK Engineering's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 6139 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LK Engineering Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 6139 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LK Engineering Predictive Forecast Models

LK Engineering's time-series forecasting models is one of many LK Engineering's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LK Engineering's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LK Engineering

Checking the ongoing alerts about LK Engineering for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LK Engineering help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for 6139 Stock Analysis

When running LK Engineering's price analysis, check to measure LK Engineering's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LK Engineering is operating at the current time. Most of LK Engineering's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LK Engineering's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LK Engineering's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LK Engineering to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.