Crescendo Bhd (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.44
| 6718 Stock | 1.47 0.04 2.65% |
Crescendo |
Crescendo Bhd Target Price Odds to finish below 1.44
The tendency of Crescendo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.44 or more in 90 days |
| 1.47 | 90 days | 1.44 | about 71.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crescendo Bhd to drop to 1.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.88 (This Crescendo Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Crescendo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crescendo Bhd price to stay between 1.44 and its current price of 1.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Crescendo Bhd has a beta of 0.53. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Crescendo Bhd average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crescendo Bhd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crescendo Bhd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Crescendo Bhd Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Crescendo Bhd
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crescendo Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Crescendo Bhd Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crescendo Bhd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crescendo Bhd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crescendo Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crescendo Bhd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0073 |
Crescendo Bhd Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crescendo Bhd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crescendo Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Crescendo Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Crescendo Bhd may become a speculative penny stock |
Crescendo Bhd Technical Analysis
Crescendo Bhd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crescendo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crescendo Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crescendo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crescendo Bhd Predictive Forecast Models
Crescendo Bhd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crescendo Bhd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crescendo Bhd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crescendo Bhd
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crescendo Bhd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crescendo Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Crescendo Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Crescendo Bhd may become a speculative penny stock |