Guangzhou Fangbang (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.49
| 688020 Stock | 37.67 0.29 0.76% |
Guangzhou |
Guangzhou Fangbang Target Price Odds to finish over 38.49
The tendency of Guangzhou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 38.49 or more in 90 days |
| 37.67 | 90 days | 38.49 | about 37.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guangzhou Fangbang to move over 38.49 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.41 (This Guangzhou Fangbang Electronics probability density function shows the probability of Guangzhou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guangzhou Fangbang price to stay between its current price of 37.67 and 38.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Guangzhou Fangbang has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Guangzhou Fangbang average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guangzhou Fangbang Electronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guangzhou Fangbang Electronics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Guangzhou Fangbang Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guangzhou Fangbang
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangzhou Fangbang. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guangzhou Fangbang Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guangzhou Fangbang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guangzhou Fangbang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guangzhou Fangbang Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guangzhou Fangbang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Guangzhou Fangbang Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guangzhou Fangbang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guangzhou Fangbang can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guangzhou Fangbang generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guangzhou Fangbang has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 345.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (68.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.67 M. | |
| Guangzhou Fangbang generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Guangzhou Fangbang Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guangzhou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guangzhou Fangbang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangzhou Fangbang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.6 M |
Guangzhou Fangbang Technical Analysis
Guangzhou Fangbang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guangzhou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guangzhou Fangbang Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guangzhou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guangzhou Fangbang Predictive Forecast Models
Guangzhou Fangbang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guangzhou Fangbang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guangzhou Fangbang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guangzhou Fangbang
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guangzhou Fangbang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guangzhou Fangbang help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guangzhou Fangbang generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guangzhou Fangbang has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 345.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (68.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.67 M. | |
| Guangzhou Fangbang generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Guangzhou Stock
Guangzhou Fangbang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Guangzhou Fangbang security.