APT Medical (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 358.79

688617 Stock   366.33  17.67  4.60%   
APT Medical's future price is the expected price of APT Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of APT Medical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out APT Medical Backtesting, APT Medical Valuation, APT Medical Correlation, APT Medical Hype Analysis, APT Medical Volatility, APT Medical History as well as APT Medical Performance.
  
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APT Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 358.79

The tendency of APT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  358.79  or more in 90 days
 366.33 90 days 358.79 
about 52.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of APT Medical to drop to  358.79  or more in 90 days from now is about 52.03 (This APT Medical probability density function shows the probability of APT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of APT Medical price to stay between  358.79  and its current price of 366.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon APT Medical has a beta of -0.0422. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding APT Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, APT Medical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally APT Medical has an alpha of 0.1558, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   APT Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for APT Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as APT Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
361.28365.29369.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
309.24313.25402.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
363.55367.56371.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
325.53356.78388.03
Details

APT Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. APT Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the APT Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold APT Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of APT Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
20.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

APT Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of APT Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for APT Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
APT Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
APT Medical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cloroxs Pricing Cost-Saving Efforts Bode Well Apt to Hold the Stock - MSN

APT Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of APT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential APT Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. APT Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding66.9 M

APT Medical Technical Analysis

APT Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. APT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of APT Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing APT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

APT Medical Predictive Forecast Models

APT Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many APT Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary APT Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about APT Medical

Checking the ongoing alerts about APT Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for APT Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
APT Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
APT Medical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cloroxs Pricing Cost-Saving Efforts Bode Well Apt to Hold the Stock - MSN

Other Information on Investing in APT Stock

APT Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether APT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in APT with respect to the benefits of owning APT Medical security.