GalaxyCore (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.12

688728 Stock   16.14  0.22  1.34%   
GalaxyCore's future price is the expected price of GalaxyCore instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GalaxyCore performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GalaxyCore Backtesting, GalaxyCore Valuation, GalaxyCore Correlation, GalaxyCore Hype Analysis, GalaxyCore Volatility, GalaxyCore History as well as GalaxyCore Performance.
  
Please specify GalaxyCore's target price for which you would like GalaxyCore odds to be computed.

GalaxyCore Target Price Odds to finish below 18.12

The tendency of GalaxyCore Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  18.12  after 90 days
 16.14 90 days 18.12 
about 88.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GalaxyCore to stay under  18.12  after 90 days from now is about 88.15 (This GalaxyCore probability density function shows the probability of GalaxyCore Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GalaxyCore price to stay between its current price of  16.14  and  18.12  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GalaxyCore has a beta of -0.23. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GalaxyCore are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GalaxyCore is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GalaxyCore has an alpha of 0.7014, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GalaxyCore Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GalaxyCore

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GalaxyCore. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1316.1421.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.8112.8217.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.7014.7119.71
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GalaxyCore. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GalaxyCore's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GalaxyCore's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GalaxyCore.

GalaxyCore Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GalaxyCore is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GalaxyCore's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GalaxyCore, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GalaxyCore within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.70
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
2.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

GalaxyCore Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GalaxyCore for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GalaxyCore can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GalaxyCore is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GalaxyCore appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

GalaxyCore Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GalaxyCore Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GalaxyCore's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GalaxyCore's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 B

GalaxyCore Technical Analysis

GalaxyCore's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GalaxyCore Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GalaxyCore. In general, you should focus on analyzing GalaxyCore Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GalaxyCore Predictive Forecast Models

GalaxyCore's time-series forecasting models is one of many GalaxyCore's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GalaxyCore's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GalaxyCore

Checking the ongoing alerts about GalaxyCore for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GalaxyCore help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GalaxyCore is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GalaxyCore appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in GalaxyCore Stock

GalaxyCore financial ratios help investors to determine whether GalaxyCore Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GalaxyCore with respect to the benefits of owning GalaxyCore security.