Five Below (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 177.32
| 6F1 Stock | EUR 103.95 2.75 2.72% |
Five |
Five Below Target Price Odds to finish below 177.32
The tendency of Five Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 177.32 after 90 days |
| 103.95 | 90 days | 177.32 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Five Below to stay under € 177.32 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Five Below probability density function shows the probability of Five Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Five Below price to stay between its current price of € 103.95 and € 177.32 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 3.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Five Below has a beta of -0.18. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Five Below are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Five Below is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Five Below has an alpha of 0.3329, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Five Below Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Five Below
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Five Below. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Five Below Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Five Below is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Five Below's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Five Below, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Five Below within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Five Below Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Five Below for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Five Below can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Five Below had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Five Below has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Five Below Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Five Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Five Below's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Five Below's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.7 M |
Five Below Technical Analysis
Five Below's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Five Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Five Below. In general, you should focus on analyzing Five Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Five Below Predictive Forecast Models
Five Below's time-series forecasting models is one of many Five Below's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Five Below's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Five Below
Checking the ongoing alerts about Five Below for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Five Below help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Five Below had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Five Below has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Five Stock
When determining whether Five Below is a strong investment it is important to analyze Five Below's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Five Below's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Five Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Five Below Backtesting, Five Below Valuation, Five Below Correlation, Five Below Hype Analysis, Five Below Volatility, Five Below History as well as Five Below Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Five Stock please use our How to Invest in Five Below guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.