Impiana Hotels (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.18

7243 Stock   0.21  0.00  0.00%   
Impiana Hotels' future price is the expected price of Impiana Hotels instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Impiana Hotels Bhd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Impiana Hotels Backtesting, Impiana Hotels Valuation, Impiana Hotels Correlation, Impiana Hotels Hype Analysis, Impiana Hotels Volatility, Impiana Hotels History as well as Impiana Hotels Performance.
  
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Impiana Hotels Target Price Odds to finish below 0.18

The tendency of Impiana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.18  or more in 90 days
 0.21 90 days 0.18 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Impiana Hotels to drop to  0.18  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Impiana Hotels Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Impiana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Impiana Hotels Bhd price to stay between  0.18  and its current price of 0.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Impiana Hotels Bhd has a beta of -0.8. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Impiana Hotels are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Impiana Hotels Bhd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Impiana Hotels Bhd has an alpha of 0.2094, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Impiana Hotels Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Impiana Hotels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impiana Hotels Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.213.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.183.77
Details

Impiana Hotels Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Impiana Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Impiana Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Impiana Hotels Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Impiana Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.8
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Impiana Hotels Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Impiana Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Impiana Hotels Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Impiana Hotels Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Impiana Hotels Bhd had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Impiana Hotels Bhd has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (5.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Impiana Hotels generates negative cash flow from operations

Impiana Hotels Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Impiana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Impiana Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Impiana Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Short Term Investments684 K
Cash And Short Term Investments3.6 M

Impiana Hotels Technical Analysis

Impiana Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Impiana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Impiana Hotels Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Impiana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Impiana Hotels Predictive Forecast Models

Impiana Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Impiana Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Impiana Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Impiana Hotels Bhd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Impiana Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Impiana Hotels Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Impiana Hotels Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Impiana Hotels Bhd had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Impiana Hotels Bhd has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (5.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Impiana Hotels generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in Impiana Stock

Impiana Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impiana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impiana with respect to the benefits of owning Impiana Hotels security.