BROOKFBH 462 (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.54

7D8 Stock  EUR 14.57  0.07  0.48%   
BROOKFBH 462's future price is the expected price of BROOKFBH 462 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BROOKFBH 462 Backtesting, BROOKFBH 462 Valuation, BROOKFBH 462 Correlation, BROOKFBH 462 Hype Analysis, BROOKFBH 462 Volatility, BROOKFBH 462 History as well as BROOKFBH 462 Performance.
  
Please specify BROOKFBH 462's target price for which you would like BROOKFBH 462 odds to be computed.

BROOKFBH 462 Target Price Odds to finish below 6.54

The tendency of BROOKFBH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 6.54  or more in 90 days
 14.57 90 days 6.54 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BROOKFBH 462 to drop to € 6.54  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU probability density function shows the probability of BROOKFBH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU price to stay between € 6.54  and its current price of €14.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BROOKFBH 462 has a beta of 0.98. This suggests BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BROOKFBH 462 is expected to follow. Additionally BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU has an alpha of 0.0884, implying that it can generate a 0.0884 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BROOKFBH 462 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BROOKFBH 462

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.8514.5717.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4514.1716.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6714.4017.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.0215.0516.08
Details

BROOKFBH 462 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BROOKFBH 462 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BROOKFBH 462's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BROOKFBH 462 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.98
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

BROOKFBH 462 Technical Analysis

BROOKFBH 462's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BROOKFBH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BROOKFBH 462 PRSNU. In general, you should focus on analyzing BROOKFBH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BROOKFBH 462 Predictive Forecast Models

BROOKFBH 462's time-series forecasting models is one of many BROOKFBH 462's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BROOKFBH 462's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BROOKFBH 462 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BROOKFBH 462's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BROOKFBH 462 options trading.

Other Information on Investing in BROOKFBH Stock

BROOKFBH 462 financial ratios help investors to determine whether BROOKFBH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BROOKFBH with respect to the benefits of owning BROOKFBH 462 security.