SWISS WATER (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.11

7RD Stock  EUR 2.62  0.16  5.76%   
SWISS WATER's future price is the expected price of SWISS WATER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SWISS WATER Backtesting, SWISS WATER Valuation, SWISS WATER Correlation, SWISS WATER Hype Analysis, SWISS WATER Volatility, SWISS WATER History as well as SWISS WATER Performance.
  
Please specify SWISS WATER's target price for which you would like SWISS WATER odds to be computed.

SWISS WATER Target Price Odds to finish below 0.11

The tendency of SWISS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.11  or more in 90 days
 2.62 90 days 0.11 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SWISS WATER to drop to € 0.11  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE probability density function shows the probability of SWISS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE price to stay between € 0.11  and its current price of €2.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.24 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SWISS WATER has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SWISS WATER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE has an alpha of 0.1456, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SWISS WATER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SWISS WATER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.625.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.294.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.565.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.282.572.85
Details

SWISS WATER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SWISS WATER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SWISS WATER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SWISS WATER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

SWISS WATER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SWISS WATER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE has accumulated about 1.28 M in cash with (6.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14.

SWISS WATER Technical Analysis

SWISS WATER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SWISS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE. In general, you should focus on analyzing SWISS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SWISS WATER Predictive Forecast Models

SWISS WATER's time-series forecasting models is one of many SWISS WATER's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SWISS WATER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE

Checking the ongoing alerts about SWISS WATER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE has accumulated about 1.28 M in cash with (6.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14.

Other Information on Investing in SWISS Stock

SWISS WATER financial ratios help investors to determine whether SWISS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SWISS with respect to the benefits of owning SWISS WATER security.