Mercury Industries (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.93
| 8192 Stock | 0.90 0.01 1.10% |
Mercury |
Mercury Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 0.93
The tendency of Mercury Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.93 after 90 days |
| 0.90 | 90 days | 0.93 | about 6.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mercury Industries to stay under 0.93 after 90 days from now is about 6.28 (This Mercury Industries Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Mercury Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mercury Industries Bhd price to stay between its current price of 0.90 and 0.93 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mercury Industries has a beta of 0.0074. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Mercury Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mercury Industries Bhd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mercury Industries Bhd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mercury Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mercury Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mercury Industries Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mercury Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mercury Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mercury Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mercury Industries Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mercury Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Mercury Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mercury Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mercury Industries Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mercury Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mercury Industries has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mercury Industries has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Mercury Industries generates negative cash flow from operations |
Mercury Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mercury Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mercury Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mercury Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.2 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 217.8 K |
Mercury Industries Technical Analysis
Mercury Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mercury Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mercury Industries Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mercury Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mercury Industries Predictive Forecast Models
Mercury Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mercury Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mercury Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mercury Industries Bhd
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mercury Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mercury Industries Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mercury Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mercury Industries has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mercury Industries has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Mercury Industries generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Mercury Stock
Mercury Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mercury Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mercury with respect to the benefits of owning Mercury Industries security.