Jinli Group (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.07
| 8429 Stock | TWD 14.05 0.05 0.36% |
Jinli |
Jinli Group Target Price Odds to finish below 3.07
The tendency of Jinli Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 3.07 or more in 90 days |
| 14.05 | 90 days | 3.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jinli Group to drop to NT$ 3.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jinli Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Jinli Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jinli Group Holdings price to stay between NT$ 3.07 and its current price of NT$14.05 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jinli Group Holdings has a beta of -0.34. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jinli Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jinli Group Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jinli Group Holdings has an alpha of 0.5965, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jinli Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jinli Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jinli Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jinli Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jinli Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jinli Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jinli Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jinli Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Jinli Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jinli Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jinli Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jinli Group Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Jinli Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jinli Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jinli Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jinli Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 185.7 M |
Jinli Group Technical Analysis
Jinli Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jinli Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jinli Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jinli Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jinli Group Predictive Forecast Models
Jinli Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jinli Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jinli Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jinli Group Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jinli Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jinli Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jinli Group Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Jinli Stock Analysis
When running Jinli Group's price analysis, check to measure Jinli Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jinli Group is operating at the current time. Most of Jinli Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jinli Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jinli Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jinli Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.