LUMI GRUPPEN (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.97
| 8KS Stock | EUR 1.06 0.01 0.93% |
LUMI |
LUMI GRUPPEN Target Price Odds to finish below 0.97
The tendency of LUMI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.97 or more in 90 days |
| 1.06 | 90 days | 0.97 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LUMI GRUPPEN to drop to € 0.97 or more in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This LUMI GRUPPEN AS probability density function shows the probability of LUMI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LUMI GRUPPEN AS price to stay between € 0.97 and its current price of €1.06 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon LUMI GRUPPEN has a beta of 0.62. This suggests as returns on the market go up, LUMI GRUPPEN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LUMI GRUPPEN AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover LUMI GRUPPEN AS has an alpha of 1.0453, implying that it can generate a 1.05 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LUMI GRUPPEN Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LUMI GRUPPEN
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LUMI GRUPPEN AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LUMI GRUPPEN Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LUMI GRUPPEN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LUMI GRUPPEN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LUMI GRUPPEN AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LUMI GRUPPEN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
LUMI GRUPPEN Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LUMI GRUPPEN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LUMI GRUPPEN AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LUMI GRUPPEN AS is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| LUMI GRUPPEN AS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LUMI GRUPPEN AS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| LUMI GRUPPEN AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| LUMI GRUPPEN AS has accumulated 585.46 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.13, which is about average as compared to similar companies. LUMI GRUPPEN AS has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist LUMI GRUPPEN until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LUMI GRUPPEN's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LUMI GRUPPEN AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LUMI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LUMI GRUPPEN's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 521.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 282.45 M. | |
| About 17.0% of LUMI GRUPPEN shares are owned by insiders or employees |
LUMI GRUPPEN Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LUMI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LUMI GRUPPEN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LUMI GRUPPEN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.2122 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.2 | |
| Shares Float | 33.4 M |
LUMI GRUPPEN Technical Analysis
LUMI GRUPPEN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LUMI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LUMI GRUPPEN AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing LUMI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LUMI GRUPPEN Predictive Forecast Models
LUMI GRUPPEN's time-series forecasting models is one of many LUMI GRUPPEN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LUMI GRUPPEN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LUMI GRUPPEN AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about LUMI GRUPPEN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LUMI GRUPPEN AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LUMI GRUPPEN AS is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| LUMI GRUPPEN AS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LUMI GRUPPEN AS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| LUMI GRUPPEN AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| LUMI GRUPPEN AS has accumulated 585.46 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.13, which is about average as compared to similar companies. LUMI GRUPPEN AS has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist LUMI GRUPPEN until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LUMI GRUPPEN's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LUMI GRUPPEN AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LUMI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LUMI GRUPPEN's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 521.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 282.45 M. | |
| About 17.0% of LUMI GRUPPEN shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in LUMI Stock
LUMI GRUPPEN financial ratios help investors to determine whether LUMI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LUMI with respect to the benefits of owning LUMI GRUPPEN security.