Advanced Packaging (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| 9148 Stock | 0.64 0.01 1.59% |
Advanced |
Advanced Packaging Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Advanced Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.64 | 90 days | 0.01 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advanced Packaging to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Advanced Packaging Tech probability density function shows the probability of Advanced Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Advanced Packaging Tech price to stay between 0.01 and its current price of 0.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Advanced Packaging Tech has a beta of -0.0196. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Advanced Packaging are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Advanced Packaging Tech is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Advanced Packaging Tech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Advanced Packaging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Advanced Packaging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Packaging Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Advanced Packaging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advanced Packaging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advanced Packaging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advanced Packaging Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advanced Packaging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Advanced Packaging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advanced Packaging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advanced Packaging Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Advanced Packaging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Advanced Packaging has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Advanced Packaging has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 24.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Advanced Packaging Tech has accumulated about 4.07 M in cash with (6.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Advanced Packaging Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advanced Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advanced Packaging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advanced Packaging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.1 M |
Advanced Packaging Technical Analysis
Advanced Packaging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advanced Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advanced Packaging Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advanced Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Advanced Packaging Predictive Forecast Models
Advanced Packaging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Advanced Packaging's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Advanced Packaging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Advanced Packaging Tech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Advanced Packaging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Advanced Packaging Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Advanced Packaging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Advanced Packaging has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Advanced Packaging has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 24.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Advanced Packaging Tech has accumulated about 4.07 M in cash with (6.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Advanced Stock
Advanced Packaging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Advanced Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Advanced with respect to the benefits of owning Advanced Packaging security.