RCE Capital (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.59
| 9296 Stock | 1.56 0.02 1.30% |
RCE |
RCE Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 1.59
The tendency of RCE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.59 after 90 days |
| 1.56 | 90 days | 1.59 | about 49.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RCE Capital to stay under 1.59 after 90 days from now is about 49.71 (This RCE Capital Berhad probability density function shows the probability of RCE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RCE Capital Berhad price to stay between its current price of 1.56 and 1.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RCE Capital Berhad has a beta of -0.0129. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding RCE Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, RCE Capital Berhad is likely to outperform the market. Additionally RCE Capital Berhad has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. RCE Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RCE Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RCE Capital Berhad. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RCE Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RCE Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RCE Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RCE Capital Berhad, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RCE Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
RCE Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RCE Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RCE Capital Berhad can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| RCE Capital Berhad generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| RCE Capital Berhad may become a speculative penny stock |
RCE Capital Technical Analysis
RCE Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RCE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RCE Capital Berhad. In general, you should focus on analyzing RCE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
RCE Capital Predictive Forecast Models
RCE Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many RCE Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RCE Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about RCE Capital Berhad
Checking the ongoing alerts about RCE Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RCE Capital Berhad help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| RCE Capital Berhad generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| RCE Capital Berhad may become a speculative penny stock |