AIC Mines (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.28
| A1M Stock | 0.33 0.01 3.13% |
AIC |
AIC Mines Target Price Odds to finish below 0.28
The tendency of AIC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.28 or more in 90 days |
| 0.33 | 90 days | 0.28 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AIC Mines to drop to 0.28 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AIC Mines Limited probability density function shows the probability of AIC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AIC Mines Limited price to stay between 0.28 and its current price of 0.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AIC Mines Limited has a beta of -0.0404. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AIC Mines are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AIC Mines Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AIC Mines Limited has an alpha of 0.0595, implying that it can generate a 0.0595 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AIC Mines Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AIC Mines
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AIC Mines Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AIC Mines Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AIC Mines is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AIC Mines' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AIC Mines Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AIC Mines within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
AIC Mines Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AIC Mines for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AIC Mines Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AIC Mines Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AIC Mines Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| AIC Mines Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AIC Mines Boosts Directors Stake with New Incentives - TipRanks |
AIC Mines Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AIC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AIC Mines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AIC Mines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 570.9 M |
AIC Mines Technical Analysis
AIC Mines' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AIC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AIC Mines Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing AIC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AIC Mines Predictive Forecast Models
AIC Mines' time-series forecasting models is one of many AIC Mines' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AIC Mines' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AIC Mines Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about AIC Mines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AIC Mines Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AIC Mines Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AIC Mines Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| AIC Mines Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AIC Mines Boosts Directors Stake with New Incentives - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for AIC Stock Analysis
When running AIC Mines' price analysis, check to measure AIC Mines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AIC Mines is operating at the current time. Most of AIC Mines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AIC Mines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AIC Mines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AIC Mines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.