Ata Creativity Global Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.23
| AACG Stock | USD 0.98 0.02 2.00% |
ATA |
ATA Creativity Target Price Odds to finish over 6.23
The tendency of ATA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 6.23 or more in 90 days |
| 0.98 | 90 days | 6.23 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATA Creativity to move over $ 6.23 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This ATA Creativity Global probability density function shows the probability of ATA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ATA Creativity Global price to stay between its current price of $ 0.98 and $ 6.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.38 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ATA Creativity has a beta of 0.43. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ATA Creativity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ATA Creativity Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ATA Creativity Global has an alpha of 0.8506, implying that it can generate a 0.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ATA Creativity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ATA Creativity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATA Creativity Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ATA Creativity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ATA Creativity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATA Creativity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATA Creativity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATA Creativity Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATA Creativity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
ATA Creativity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATA Creativity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATA Creativity Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ATA Creativity is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| ATA Creativity has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ATA Creativity appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| ATA Creativity has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ATA Creativity Global currently holds 22.61 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. ATA Creativity Global has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about ATA Creativity's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 221.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 104.8 M. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ACG Announces Results of Annual General Meeting of Shareholders |
ATA Creativity Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ATA Creativity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATA Creativity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 60.2 M |
ATA Creativity Technical Analysis
ATA Creativity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATA Creativity Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ATA Creativity Predictive Forecast Models
ATA Creativity's time-series forecasting models is one of many ATA Creativity's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATA Creativity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ATA Creativity Global
Checking the ongoing alerts about ATA Creativity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATA Creativity Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ATA Creativity is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| ATA Creativity has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ATA Creativity appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| ATA Creativity has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ATA Creativity Global currently holds 22.61 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. ATA Creativity Global has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about ATA Creativity's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 221.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 104.8 M. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ACG Announces Results of Annual General Meeting of Shareholders |
Check out ATA Creativity Backtesting, ATA Creativity Valuation, ATA Creativity Correlation, ATA Creativity Hype Analysis, ATA Creativity Volatility, ATA Creativity History as well as ATA Creativity Performance. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ATA Creativity. If investors know ATA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ATA Creativity listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.119 | Earnings Share (0.18) | Revenue Per Share 7.962 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.131 | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of ATA Creativity Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ATA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ATA Creativity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ATA Creativity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ATA Creativity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ATA Creativity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ATA Creativity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ATA Creativity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ATA Creativity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.