Aftermath Silver Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.41
| AAG Stock | 0.51 0.04 8.51% |
Aftermath |
Aftermath Silver Target Price Odds to finish below 0.41
The tendency of Aftermath Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.41 or more in 90 days |
| 0.51 | 90 days | 0.41 | about 11.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aftermath Silver to drop to 0.41 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.81 (This Aftermath Silver probability density function shows the probability of Aftermath Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aftermath Silver price to stay between 0.41 and its current price of 0.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.29 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aftermath Silver will likely underperform. Additionally Aftermath Silver has an alpha of 0.7231, implying that it can generate a 0.72 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aftermath Silver Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aftermath Silver
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aftermath Silver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aftermath Silver Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aftermath Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aftermath Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aftermath Silver, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aftermath Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Aftermath Silver Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aftermath Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aftermath Silver can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aftermath Silver is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aftermath Silver has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aftermath Silver appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aftermath Silver has accumulated 8.22 M in total debt. Aftermath Silver has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aftermath Silver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aftermath Silver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aftermath Silver sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aftermath to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aftermath Silver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (7.12 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.84 M). | |
| Aftermath Silver has accumulated about 11.44 K in cash with (5.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Aftermath Silver Announces AGSM Results - Yahoo Finance |
Aftermath Silver Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aftermath Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aftermath Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aftermath Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 233.3 M |
Aftermath Silver Technical Analysis
Aftermath Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aftermath Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aftermath Silver. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aftermath Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aftermath Silver Predictive Forecast Models
Aftermath Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aftermath Silver's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aftermath Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aftermath Silver
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aftermath Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aftermath Silver help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aftermath Silver is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aftermath Silver has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aftermath Silver appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aftermath Silver has accumulated 8.22 M in total debt. Aftermath Silver has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Aftermath Silver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aftermath Silver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aftermath Silver sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aftermath to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aftermath Silver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (7.12 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.84 M). | |
| Aftermath Silver has accumulated about 11.44 K in cash with (5.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Aftermath Silver Announces AGSM Results - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for Aftermath Stock Analysis
When running Aftermath Silver's price analysis, check to measure Aftermath Silver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aftermath Silver is operating at the current time. Most of Aftermath Silver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aftermath Silver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aftermath Silver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aftermath Silver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.