African Agriculture Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0001
| AAGRWDelisted Stock | 0 0 311.11% |
African |
African Agriculture Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0001
The tendency of African Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.0001 or more in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 0.0001 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of African Agriculture to drop to 0.0001 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This African Agriculture Holdings probability density function shows the probability of African Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of African Agriculture price to stay between 0.0001 and its current price of 0.0037 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon African Agriculture Holdings has a beta of -2.04. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding African Agriculture Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, African Agriculture is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that African Agriculture Holdings has an alpha of 5.0901, implying that it can generate a 5.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). African Agriculture Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for African Agriculture
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as African Agriculture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.African Agriculture Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. African Agriculture is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the African Agriculture's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold African Agriculture Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of African Agriculture within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 5.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
African Agriculture Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of African Agriculture for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for African Agriculture can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| African Agriculture is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| African Agriculture is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| African Agriculture has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| African Agriculture appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| African Agriculture has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| African Agriculture generates negative cash flow from operations |
African Agriculture Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of African Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential African Agriculture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. African Agriculture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.8 M |
African Agriculture Technical Analysis
African Agriculture's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. African Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of African Agriculture Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing African Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
African Agriculture Predictive Forecast Models
African Agriculture's time-series forecasting models is one of many African Agriculture's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary African Agriculture's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about African Agriculture
Checking the ongoing alerts about African Agriculture for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for African Agriculture help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| African Agriculture is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| African Agriculture is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| African Agriculture has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| African Agriculture appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| African Agriculture has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| African Agriculture generates negative cash flow from operations |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Other Consideration for investing in African Stock
If you are still planning to invest in African Agriculture check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the African Agriculture's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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