American Funds 2045 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 22.11
| AAHTX Fund | USD 21.43 0.70 3.16% |
American |
American Funds Target Price Odds to finish below 22.11
The tendency of American Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 22.11 after 90 days |
| 21.43 | 90 days | 22.11 | about 62.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Funds to stay under $ 22.11 after 90 days from now is about 62.67 (This American Funds 2045 probability density function shows the probability of American Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Funds 2045 price to stay between its current price of $ 21.43 and $ 22.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Funds has a beta of 0.0167. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Funds average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Funds 2045 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Funds 2045 has an alpha of 0.0133, implying that it can generate a 0.0133 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Funds Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Funds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Funds 2045. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Funds Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Funds 2045, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
American Funds Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Funds 2045 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Funds 2045 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Goldman Sachs Initiates Coverage of Darden Restaurants with Neutral Recommendation - MSN | |
| The fund holds about 7.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
American Funds Technical Analysis
American Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Funds 2045. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Funds Predictive Forecast Models
American Funds' time-series forecasting models is one of many American Funds' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Funds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Funds 2045
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Funds 2045 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Funds 2045 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Goldman Sachs Initiates Coverage of Darden Restaurants with Neutral Recommendation - MSN | |
| The fund holds about 7.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in American Mutual Fund
American Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Funds security.
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk |