Aia Group Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 7.48
| AAIGF Stock | USD 7.71 0.10 1.31% |
AIA |
AIA Target Price Odds to finish over 7.48
The tendency of AIA Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 7.48 in 90 days |
| 7.71 | 90 days | 7.48 | about 64.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AIA to stay above $ 7.48 in 90 days from now is about 64.55 (This AIA Group probability density function shows the probability of AIA Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AIA Group price to stay between $ 7.48 and its current price of $7.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AIA Group has a beta of -0.0749. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AIA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AIA Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AIA Group has an alpha of 0.2573, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AIA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AIA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AIA Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AIA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AIA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AIA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AIA Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AIA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
AIA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AIA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AIA Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AIA Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
AIA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AIA Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AIA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AIA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.1 B |
AIA Technical Analysis
AIA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AIA Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AIA Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing AIA Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AIA Predictive Forecast Models
AIA's time-series forecasting models is one of many AIA's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AIA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AIA Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about AIA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AIA Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AIA Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in AIA Pink Sheet
AIA financial ratios help investors to determine whether AIA Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AIA with respect to the benefits of owning AIA security.