Administradora Americana (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 191.56
| AAISA Stock | 186.00 3.81 2.09% |
Administradora |
Administradora Americana Target Price Odds to finish below 191.56
The tendency of Administradora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 191.56 after 90 days |
| 186.00 | 90 days | 191.56 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Administradora Americana to stay under 191.56 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Administradora Americana de probability density function shows the probability of Administradora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Administradora Americana price to stay between its current price of 186.00 and 191.56 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Administradora Americana de has a beta of -0.0193. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Administradora Americana are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Administradora Americana de is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Administradora Americana de has an alpha of 0.1494, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Administradora Americana Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Administradora Americana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Administradora Americana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Administradora Americana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Administradora Americana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Administradora Americana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Administradora Americana de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Administradora Americana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Administradora Americana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Administradora Americana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Administradora Americana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Administradora Americana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Administradora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Administradora Americana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Administradora Americana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.025 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 3.5 | |
| Shares Float | 188.6 M |
Administradora Americana Technical Analysis
Administradora Americana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Administradora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Administradora Americana de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Administradora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Administradora Americana Predictive Forecast Models
Administradora Americana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Administradora Americana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Administradora Americana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Administradora Americana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Administradora Americana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Administradora Americana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Administradora Stock Analysis
When running Administradora Americana's price analysis, check to measure Administradora Americana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Administradora Americana is operating at the current time. Most of Administradora Americana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Administradora Americana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Administradora Americana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Administradora Americana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.