Mahaka Media (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 44.47
| ABBA Stock | IDR 29.00 1.00 3.33% |
Mahaka |
Mahaka Media Target Price Odds to finish over 44.47
The tendency of Mahaka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 44.47 or more in 90 days |
| 29.00 | 90 days | 44.47 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mahaka Media to move over 44.47 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mahaka Media Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Mahaka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mahaka Media Tbk price to stay between its current price of 29.00 and 44.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mahaka Media has a beta of 0.84. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Mahaka Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mahaka Media Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mahaka Media Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mahaka Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mahaka Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mahaka Media Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mahaka Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mahaka Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mahaka Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mahaka Media Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mahaka Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Mahaka Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mahaka Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mahaka Media Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mahaka Media Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mahaka Media Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 168.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (22.28 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 74.69 B. | |
| Mahaka Media generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Mahaka Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mahaka Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mahaka Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mahaka Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.7 B |
Mahaka Media Technical Analysis
Mahaka Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mahaka Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mahaka Media Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mahaka Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mahaka Media Predictive Forecast Models
Mahaka Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mahaka Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mahaka Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mahaka Media Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mahaka Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mahaka Media Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mahaka Media Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mahaka Media Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 168.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (22.28 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 74.69 B. | |
| Mahaka Media generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mahaka Stock
Mahaka Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mahaka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mahaka with respect to the benefits of owning Mahaka Media security.