Auburn Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 8.49
| ABBB Stock | USD 8.49 0.27 3.28% |
Auburn |
Auburn Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 8.49
The tendency of Auburn Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 8.49 | 90 days | 8.49 | about 29.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Auburn Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.51 (This Auburn Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Auburn Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Auburn Bancorp has a beta of -0.0051. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Auburn Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Auburn Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Auburn Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0096, implying that it can generate a 0.009613 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Auburn Bancorp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Auburn Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auburn Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Auburn Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Auburn Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Auburn Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Auburn Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Auburn Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0051 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Auburn Bancorp Technical Analysis
Auburn Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Auburn Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Auburn Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Auburn Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Auburn Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Auburn Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Auburn Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Auburn Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Auburn Bancorp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Auburn Bancorp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Auburn Bancorp options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Auburn Pink Sheet
Auburn Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Auburn Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Auburn with respect to the benefits of owning Auburn Bancorp security.