Abb Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 49.60

ABLZF Stock  USD 57.77  0.22  0.38%   
ABB's future price is the expected price of ABB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ABB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ABB Backtesting, ABB Valuation, ABB Correlation, ABB Hype Analysis, ABB Volatility, ABB History as well as ABB Performance.
  
Please specify ABB's target price for which you would like ABB odds to be computed.

ABB Target Price Odds to finish below 49.60

The tendency of ABB Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 49.60  or more in 90 days
 57.77 90 days 49.60 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ABB to drop to $ 49.60  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ABB probability density function shows the probability of ABB Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ABB price to stay between $ 49.60  and its current price of $57.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ABB has a beta of 0.0953. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ABB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ABB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ABB has an alpha of 0.0578, implying that it can generate a 0.0578 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ABB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ABB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ABB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.6557.5560.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.5648.4663.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.2958.1961.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.8657.2159.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ABB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ABB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ABB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ABB.

ABB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ABB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ABB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ABB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ABB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

ABB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ABB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ABB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

ABB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ABB Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ABB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ABB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B

ABB Technical Analysis

ABB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ABB Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ABB. In general, you should focus on analyzing ABB Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ABB Predictive Forecast Models

ABB's time-series forecasting models is one of many ABB's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ABB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ABB

Checking the ongoing alerts about ABB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ABB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in ABB Pink Sheet

ABB financial ratios help investors to determine whether ABB Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ABB with respect to the benefits of owning ABB security.