Acer Incorporated (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.13

AC5G Stock  EUR 5.50  0.20  3.77%   
Acer Incorporated's future price is the expected price of Acer Incorporated instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Acer Incorporated performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Acer Incorporated Backtesting, Acer Incorporated Valuation, Acer Incorporated Correlation, Acer Incorporated Hype Analysis, Acer Incorporated Volatility, Acer Incorporated History as well as Acer Incorporated Performance.
  
Please specify Acer Incorporated's target price for which you would like Acer Incorporated odds to be computed.

Acer Incorporated Target Price Odds to finish over 14.13

The tendency of Acer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 14.13  or more in 90 days
 5.50 90 days 14.13 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acer Incorporated to move over € 14.13  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Acer Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Acer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acer Incorporated price to stay between its current price of € 5.50  and € 14.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Acer Incorporated has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Acer Incorporated average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acer Incorporated will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acer Incorporated has an alpha of 0.5782, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Acer Incorporated Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Acer Incorporated

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acer Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.285.5014.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.234.5413.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.125.8715.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.644.985.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Acer Incorporated. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Acer Incorporated's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Acer Incorporated's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Acer Incorporated.

Acer Incorporated Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acer Incorporated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acer Incorporated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acer Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acer Incorporated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Acer Incorporated Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acer Incorporated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acer Incorporated can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acer Incorporated is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Acer Incorporated appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Acer Incorporated Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acer Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acer Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Acer Incorporated Technical Analysis

Acer Incorporated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acer Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Acer Incorporated Predictive Forecast Models

Acer Incorporated's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acer Incorporated's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acer Incorporated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Acer Incorporated

Checking the ongoing alerts about Acer Incorporated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acer Incorporated help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acer Incorporated is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Acer Incorporated appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Acer Stock

Acer Incorporated financial ratios help investors to determine whether Acer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Acer with respect to the benefits of owning Acer Incorporated security.