Ac Immune Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.26
| ACIU Stock | USD 2.68 0.02 0.74% |
ACIU |
AC Immune Target Price Odds to finish over 12.26
The tendency of ACIU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 12.26 or more in 90 days |
| 2.68 | 90 days | 12.26 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AC Immune to move over $ 12.26 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AC Immune probability density function shows the probability of ACIU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AC Immune price to stay between its current price of $ 2.68 and $ 12.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AC Immune has a beta of 0.78. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AC Immune average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AC Immune will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AC Immune has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AC Immune Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AC Immune
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AC Immune. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AC Immune Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AC Immune is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AC Immune's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AC Immune, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AC Immune within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
AC Immune Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AC Immune for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AC Immune can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AC Immune generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AC Immune has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (56.4 M). | |
| AC Immune currently holds about 154.15 M in cash with (60.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.83. | |
| AC Immune has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: AC Immune SAs last weeks 11 percent decline must have disappointed retail investors who have a significant stake |
AC Immune Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ACIU Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AC Immune's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AC Immune's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 84.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 103 M |
AC Immune Technical Analysis
AC Immune's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACIU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AC Immune. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACIU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AC Immune Predictive Forecast Models
AC Immune's time-series forecasting models is one of many AC Immune's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AC Immune's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AC Immune
Checking the ongoing alerts about AC Immune for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AC Immune help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AC Immune generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AC Immune has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (56.4 M). | |
| AC Immune currently holds about 154.15 M in cash with (60.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.83. | |
| AC Immune has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: AC Immune SAs last weeks 11 percent decline must have disappointed retail investors who have a significant stake |
Additional Tools for ACIU Stock Analysis
When running AC Immune's price analysis, check to measure AC Immune's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AC Immune is operating at the current time. Most of AC Immune's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AC Immune's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AC Immune's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AC Immune to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.