Arcelik As Adr Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 12.86
| ACKAY Stock | USD 19.33 0.00 0.00% |
Arcelik |
Arcelik AS Target Price Odds to finish below 12.86
The tendency of Arcelik Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.86 or more in 90 days |
| 19.33 | 90 days | 12.86 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arcelik AS to drop to $ 12.86 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Arcelik AS ADR probability density function shows the probability of Arcelik Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arcelik AS ADR price to stay between $ 12.86 and its current price of $19.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.51 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Arcelik AS has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arcelik AS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arcelik AS ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Arcelik AS ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Arcelik AS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arcelik AS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arcelik AS ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arcelik AS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arcelik AS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arcelik AS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arcelik AS ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arcelik AS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Arcelik AS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arcelik AS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arcelik AS ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arcelik AS ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arcelik AS ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Arcelik AS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arcelik Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arcelik AS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arcelik AS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 619.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.7 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 34.6 B |
Arcelik AS Technical Analysis
Arcelik AS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arcelik Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arcelik AS ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arcelik Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arcelik AS Predictive Forecast Models
Arcelik AS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arcelik AS's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arcelik AS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arcelik AS ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arcelik AS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arcelik AS ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arcelik AS ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arcelik AS ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Additional Tools for Arcelik Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Arcelik AS's price analysis, check to measure Arcelik AS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arcelik AS is operating at the current time. Most of Arcelik AS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arcelik AS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arcelik AS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arcelik AS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.