ACCOR SPADR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.23
| ACR1 Stock | EUR 9.00 0.10 1.10% |
ACCOR |
ACCOR SPADR Target Price Odds to finish below 7.23
The tendency of ACCOR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 7.23 or more in 90 days |
| 9.00 | 90 days | 7.23 | about 1.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ACCOR SPADR to drop to € 7.23 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.1 (This ACCOR SPADR NEW probability density function shows the probability of ACCOR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ACCOR SPADR NEW price to stay between € 7.23 and its current price of €9.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ACCOR SPADR has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ACCOR SPADR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ACCOR SPADR NEW will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ACCOR SPADR NEW has an alpha of 0.209, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ACCOR SPADR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ACCOR SPADR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACCOR SPADR NEW. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ACCOR SPADR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ACCOR SPADR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ACCOR SPADR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ACCOR SPADR NEW, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ACCOR SPADR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
ACCOR SPADR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ACCOR SPADR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ACCOR SPADR NEW can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has €4.03 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.1 B. Net Loss for the year was (46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61 M. |
ACCOR SPADR Technical Analysis
ACCOR SPADR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACCOR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ACCOR SPADR NEW. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACCOR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ACCOR SPADR Predictive Forecast Models
ACCOR SPADR's time-series forecasting models is one of many ACCOR SPADR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ACCOR SPADR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ACCOR SPADR NEW
Checking the ongoing alerts about ACCOR SPADR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ACCOR SPADR NEW help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has €4.03 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.1 B. Net Loss for the year was (46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61 M. |
Other Information on Investing in ACCOR Stock
ACCOR SPADR financial ratios help investors to determine whether ACCOR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ACCOR with respect to the benefits of owning ACCOR SPADR security.