Invesco Stock Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 31.93

ACSTX Fund  USD 32.25  0.13  0.40%   
Invesco Stock's future price is the expected price of Invesco Stock instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Stock Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Stock Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Stock Correlation, Invesco Stock Hype Analysis, Invesco Stock Volatility, Invesco Stock History as well as Invesco Stock Performance.
  
Please specify Invesco Stock's target price for which you would like Invesco Stock odds to be computed.

Invesco Stock Target Price Odds to finish over 31.93

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 31.93  in 90 days
 32.25 90 days 31.93 
about 32.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Stock to stay above $ 31.93  in 90 days from now is about 32.79 (This Invesco Stock Fund probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Stock price to stay between $ 31.93  and its current price of $32.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Stock has a beta of 0.85. This suggests Invesco Stock Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco Stock is expected to follow. Additionally Invesco Stock Fund has an alpha of 0.011, implying that it can generate a 0.011 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Stock Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Stock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Stock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.5532.2332.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.4532.1332.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.9831.6732.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.7732.0233.28
Details

Invesco Stock Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Stock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Stock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Stock Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Stock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.0097

Invesco Stock Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Stock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 95.29% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Invesco Stock Technical Analysis

Invesco Stock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Stock Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Stock Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Stock's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Stock's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Stock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Stock

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Stock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 95.29% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Stock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Stock security.
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