Leadershares Activist Leaders Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 35.29
ACTV Etf | USD 34.35 0.19 0.56% |
LeaderShares |
LeaderShares Activist Target Price Odds to finish over 35.29
The tendency of LeaderShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 35.29 or more in 90 days |
34.35 | 90 days | 35.29 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LeaderShares Activist to move over $ 35.29 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This LeaderShares Activist Leaders probability density function shows the probability of LeaderShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LeaderShares Activist price to stay between its current price of $ 34.35 and $ 35.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.73 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, LeaderShares Activist will likely underperform. Additionally LeaderShares Activist Leaders has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LeaderShares Activist Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for LeaderShares Activist
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LeaderShares Activist. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LeaderShares Activist's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LeaderShares Activist Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LeaderShares Activist is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LeaderShares Activist's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LeaderShares Activist Leaders, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LeaderShares Activist within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
LeaderShares Activist Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LeaderShares Activist for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LeaderShares Activist can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.LeaderShares Activist Leaders currently holds 5.24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. LeaderShares Activist has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist LeaderShares Activist until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LeaderShares Activist's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LeaderShares Activist sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LeaderShares to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LeaderShares Activist's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 418.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 227.07 M. | |
About 37.0% of LeaderShares Activist shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 50000 shares by Ehrlichman Matt of LeaderShares Activist at 7.88 subject to Rule 16b-3 | |
The fund holds 94.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
LeaderShares Activist Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LeaderShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LeaderShares Activist's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LeaderShares Activist's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
LeaderShares Activist Technical Analysis
LeaderShares Activist's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LeaderShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LeaderShares Activist Leaders. In general, you should focus on analyzing LeaderShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LeaderShares Activist Predictive Forecast Models
LeaderShares Activist's time-series forecasting models is one of many LeaderShares Activist's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LeaderShares Activist's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LeaderShares Activist
Checking the ongoing alerts about LeaderShares Activist for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LeaderShares Activist help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LeaderShares Activist Leaders currently holds 5.24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. LeaderShares Activist has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist LeaderShares Activist until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LeaderShares Activist's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LeaderShares Activist sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LeaderShares to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LeaderShares Activist's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 418.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 227.07 M. | |
About 37.0% of LeaderShares Activist shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 50000 shares by Ehrlichman Matt of LeaderShares Activist at 7.88 subject to Rule 16b-3 | |
The fund holds 94.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out LeaderShares Activist Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, LeaderShares Activist Correlation, LeaderShares Activist Hype Analysis, LeaderShares Activist Volatility, LeaderShares Activist History as well as LeaderShares Activist Performance. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
The market value of LeaderShares Activist is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LeaderShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LeaderShares Activist's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LeaderShares Activist's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LeaderShares Activist's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LeaderShares Activist's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LeaderShares Activist's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LeaderShares Activist is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LeaderShares Activist's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.