Acv Auctions Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.26
| ACVA Stock | USD 20.30 0.64 3.06% |
ACV |
ACV Auctions Target Price Odds to finish below 0.26
The tendency of ACV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.26 or more in 90 days |
| 20.30 | 90 days | 0.26 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ACV Auctions to drop to $ 0.26 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ACV Auctions probability density function shows the probability of ACV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ACV Auctions price to stay between $ 0.26 and its current price of $20.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.52 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.89 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ACV Auctions will likely underperform. Additionally ACV Auctions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ACV Auctions Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ACV Auctions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACV Auctions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ACV Auctions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ACV Auctions Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ACV Auctions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ACV Auctions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ACV Auctions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ACV Auctions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
ACV Auctions Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ACV Auctions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ACV Auctions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 481.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (75.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.35 M. | |
| ACV Auctions currently holds about 511.92 M in cash with (17.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.25. | |
| ACV Auctions has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 250000 shares by George Chamoun of ACV Auctions subject to Rule 16b-3 |
ACV Auctions Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ACV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ACV Auctions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ACV Auctions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 411.3 M |
ACV Auctions Technical Analysis
ACV Auctions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ACV Auctions. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ACV Auctions Predictive Forecast Models
ACV Auctions' time-series forecasting models is one of many ACV Auctions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ACV Auctions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ACV Auctions
Checking the ongoing alerts about ACV Auctions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ACV Auctions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 481.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (75.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.35 M. | |
| ACV Auctions currently holds about 511.92 M in cash with (17.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.25. | |
| ACV Auctions has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 250000 shares by George Chamoun of ACV Auctions subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out ACV Auctions Backtesting, ACV Auctions Valuation, ACV Auctions Correlation, ACV Auctions Hype Analysis, ACV Auctions Volatility, ACV Auctions History as well as ACV Auctions Performance. For information on how to trade ACV Stock refer to our How to Trade ACV Stock guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ACV Auctions. If investors know ACV will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ACV Auctions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.47) | Revenue Per Share 3.644 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.44 | Return On Assets (0.05) | Return On Equity (0.17) |
The market value of ACV Auctions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ACV that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ACV Auctions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ACV Auctions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ACV Auctions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ACV Auctions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ACV Auctions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ACV Auctions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ACV Auctions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.