Agree Realty Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 58.88
| ADC Stock | USD 74.00 0.46 0.62% |
Agree |
Agree Realty Target Price Odds to finish below 58.88
The tendency of Agree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 58.88 or more in 90 days |
| 74.00 | 90 days | 58.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agree Realty to drop to $ 58.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Agree Realty probability density function shows the probability of Agree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Agree Realty price to stay between $ 58.88 and its current price of $74.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.26 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Agree Realty has a beta of -0.1. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Agree Realty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Agree Realty is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Agree Realty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Agree Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Agree Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agree Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agree Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Agree Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agree Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agree Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agree Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agree Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Agree Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agree Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agree Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agree Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 14th of November 2024 Agree Realty paid $ 0.253 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Gilead and Tubulis Enter Into Exclusive Option and License Agreement to Develop ADC Candidate for Select Solid Tumor Target |
Agree Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agree Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agree Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.9 M |
Agree Realty Technical Analysis
Agree Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agree Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agree Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agree Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agree Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Agree Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Agree Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agree Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agree Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agree Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agree Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agree Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 14th of November 2024 Agree Realty paid $ 0.253 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Gilead and Tubulis Enter Into Exclusive Option and License Agreement to Develop ADC Candidate for Select Solid Tumor Target |
Check out Agree Realty Backtesting, Agree Realty Valuation, Agree Realty Correlation, Agree Realty Hype Analysis, Agree Realty Volatility, Agree Realty History as well as Agree Realty Performance. For information on how to trade Agree Stock refer to our How to Trade Agree Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agree Realty. If investors know Agree will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agree Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.032 | Dividend Share 2.982 | Earnings Share 1.81 | Revenue Per Share 5.985 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.128 |
The market value of Agree Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agree that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agree Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agree Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agree Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agree Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agree Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agree Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agree Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.