Disciplined Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 25.41
| ADCCX Fund | USD 26.39 0.09 0.34% |
Disciplined |
Disciplined Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 25.41
The tendency of Disciplined Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 25.41 in 90 days |
| 26.39 | 90 days | 25.41 | about 25.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Disciplined Growth to stay above $ 25.41 in 90 days from now is about 25.86 (This Disciplined Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of Disciplined Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Disciplined Growth price to stay between $ 25.41 and its current price of $26.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Disciplined Growth has a beta of 0.74. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Disciplined Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Disciplined Growth Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Disciplined Growth Fund has an alpha of 0.1373, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Disciplined Growth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Disciplined Growth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Disciplined Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Disciplined Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Disciplined Growth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Disciplined Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Disciplined Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Disciplined Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Disciplined Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Disciplined Growth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Disciplined Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Disciplined Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds 98.3% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Disciplined Growth Technical Analysis
Disciplined Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Disciplined Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Disciplined Growth Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Disciplined Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Disciplined Growth Predictive Forecast Models
Disciplined Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Disciplined Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Disciplined Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Disciplined Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Disciplined Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Disciplined Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds 98.3% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Disciplined Mutual Fund
Disciplined Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Disciplined Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Disciplined with respect to the benefits of owning Disciplined Growth security.
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities |