Facilities (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 46.95
| ADF Stock | 33.50 0.50 1.47% |
Facilities |
Facilities Target Price Odds to finish over 46.95
The tendency of Facilities Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 46.95 or more in 90 days |
| 33.50 | 90 days | 46.95 | about 48.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Facilities to move over 46.95 or more in 90 days from now is about 48.73 (This Facilities By ADF probability density function shows the probability of Facilities Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Facilities By ADF price to stay between its current price of 33.50 and 46.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Facilities has a beta of 0.57. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Facilities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Facilities By ADF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Facilities By ADF has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Facilities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Facilities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Facilities By ADF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Facilities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Facilities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Facilities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Facilities By ADF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Facilities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Facilities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Facilities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Facilities By ADF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Facilities By ADF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Facilities By ADF has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Facilities By ADF has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Facilities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Facilities Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Facilities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Facilities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 M |
Facilities Technical Analysis
Facilities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Facilities Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Facilities By ADF. In general, you should focus on analyzing Facilities Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Facilities Predictive Forecast Models
Facilities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Facilities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Facilities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Facilities By ADF
Checking the ongoing alerts about Facilities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Facilities By ADF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Facilities By ADF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Facilities By ADF has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Facilities By ADF has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Facilities Stock
Facilities financial ratios help investors to determine whether Facilities Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Facilities with respect to the benefits of owning Facilities security.