ADX (Poland) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.57
| ADX Stock | 0.28 0.01 3.70% |
ADX |
ADX Target Price Odds to finish over 3.57
The tendency of ADX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 3.57 or more in 90 days |
| 0.28 | 90 days | 3.57 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ADX to move over 3.57 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This ADX probability density function shows the probability of ADX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ADX price to stay between its current price of 0.28 and 3.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ADX has a beta of -1.17. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding ADX are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, ADX is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally ADX has an alpha of 0.2107, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ADX Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ADX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ADX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ADX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ADX Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ADX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ADX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ADX, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ADX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
ADX Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ADX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ADX can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ADX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ADX has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ADX has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ADX has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| ADX generates negative cash flow from operations |
ADX Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ADX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ADX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ADX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 284.4 K | |
| Short Long Term Debt Total | 35.2 K |
ADX Technical Analysis
ADX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ADX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ADX. In general, you should focus on analyzing ADX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ADX Predictive Forecast Models
ADX's time-series forecasting models is one of many ADX's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ADX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ADX
Checking the ongoing alerts about ADX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ADX help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ADX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ADX has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ADX has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ADX has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| ADX generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Tools for ADX Stock Analysis
When running ADX's price analysis, check to measure ADX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ADX is operating at the current time. Most of ADX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ADX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ADX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ADX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.