Aegon Nv Adr Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.44
| AEG Stock | USD 5.84 0.01 0.17% |
Aegon |
Aegon NV Target Price Odds to finish below 1.44
The tendency of Aegon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.44 or more in 90 days |
| 5.84 | 90 days | 1.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aegon NV to drop to $ 1.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aegon NV ADR probability density function shows the probability of Aegon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aegon NV ADR price to stay between $ 1.44 and its current price of $5.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.06 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This suggests Aegon NV ADR market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Aegon NV is expected to follow. Additionally Aegon NV ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aegon NV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aegon NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aegon NV ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aegon NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aegon NV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aegon NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aegon NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aegon NV ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aegon NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Aegon NV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aegon NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aegon NV ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aegon NV ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 12.97 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (346 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.25 B. | |
| Aegon NV ADR has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Aligned Exteriors Group Announces Partnership with Home Pro Roofing, Expanding its Service Area into Michigan and Ohio |
Aegon NV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aegon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aegon NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aegon NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54.4 B |
Aegon NV Technical Analysis
Aegon NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aegon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aegon NV ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aegon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aegon NV Predictive Forecast Models
Aegon NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aegon NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aegon NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aegon NV ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aegon NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aegon NV ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aegon NV ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 12.97 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (346 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.25 B. | |
| Aegon NV ADR has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Aligned Exteriors Group Announces Partnership with Home Pro Roofing, Expanding its Service Area into Michigan and Ohio |
Check out Aegon NV Backtesting, Aegon NV Valuation, Aegon NV Correlation, Aegon NV Hype Analysis, Aegon NV Volatility, Aegon NV History as well as Aegon NV Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aegon NV. If investors know Aegon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aegon NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share (0.08) | Revenue Per Share 7.257 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Aegon NV ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aegon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aegon NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aegon NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aegon NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aegon NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aegon NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aegon NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aegon NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.