Atmos Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 107.84
| AEO Stock | EUR 132.60 1.65 1.26% |
Atmos |
Atmos Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 107.84
The tendency of Atmos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 107.84 or more in 90 days |
| 132.60 | 90 days | 107.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atmos Energy to drop to € 107.84 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Atmos Energy probability density function shows the probability of Atmos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atmos Energy price to stay between € 107.84 and its current price of €132.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Atmos Energy has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Atmos Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atmos Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Atmos Energy has an alpha of 0.0907, implying that it can generate a 0.0907 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Atmos Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Atmos Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atmos Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atmos Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atmos Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atmos Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atmos Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atmos Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Atmos Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atmos Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atmos Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has €5.76 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Atmos Energy has accumulated 5.76 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 66.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Atmos Energy has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Atmos Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Atmos Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Atmos Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Atmos to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Atmos Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 94.0% of Atmos Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Atmos Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atmos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atmos Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atmos Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 139.9 M |
Atmos Energy Technical Analysis
Atmos Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atmos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atmos Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atmos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atmos Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Atmos Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atmos Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atmos Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atmos Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atmos Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atmos Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has €5.76 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Atmos Energy has accumulated 5.76 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 66.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Atmos Energy has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Atmos Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Atmos Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Atmos Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Atmos to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Atmos Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 94.0% of Atmos Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Atmos Stock
When determining whether Atmos Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Atmos Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Atmos Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Atmos Energy Stock:Check out Atmos Energy Backtesting, Atmos Energy Valuation, Atmos Energy Correlation, Atmos Energy Hype Analysis, Atmos Energy Volatility, Atmos Energy History as well as Atmos Energy Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Atmos Stock please use our How to Invest in Atmos Energy guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.