AEON Thana (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 124.0
| AEONTS Stock | THB 123.00 2.00 1.60% |
AEON |
AEON Thana Target Price Odds to finish below 124.0
The tendency of AEON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 124.00 after 90 days |
| 123.00 | 90 days | 124.00 | about 7.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AEON Thana to stay under 124.00 after 90 days from now is about 7.69 (This AEON Thana Sinsap probability density function shows the probability of AEON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AEON Thana Sinsap price to stay between its current price of 123.00 and 124.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AEON Thana Sinsap has a beta of -0.5. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AEON Thana are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AEON Thana Sinsap is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AEON Thana Sinsap has an alpha of 0.0712, implying that it can generate a 0.0712 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AEON Thana Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AEON Thana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AEON Thana Sinsap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AEON Thana's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AEON Thana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AEON Thana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AEON Thana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AEON Thana Sinsap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AEON Thana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
AEON Thana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AEON Thana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AEON Thana Sinsap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AEON Thana Sinsap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AEON Thana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AEON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AEON Thana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AEON Thana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 250 M |
AEON Thana Technical Analysis
AEON Thana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AEON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AEON Thana Sinsap. In general, you should focus on analyzing AEON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AEON Thana Predictive Forecast Models
AEON Thana's time-series forecasting models is one of many AEON Thana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AEON Thana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AEON Thana Sinsap
Checking the ongoing alerts about AEON Thana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AEON Thana Sinsap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AEON Thana Sinsap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in AEON Stock
AEON Thana financial ratios help investors to determine whether AEON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AEON with respect to the benefits of owning AEON Thana security.