Sustainable Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 54.23

AFEGX Fund  USD 58.91  0.33  0.56%   
Sustainable Equity's future price is the expected price of Sustainable Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sustainable Equity Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sustainable Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sustainable Equity Correlation, Sustainable Equity Hype Analysis, Sustainable Equity Volatility, Sustainable Equity History as well as Sustainable Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Sustainable Equity's target price for which you would like Sustainable Equity odds to be computed.

Sustainable Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 54.23

The tendency of Sustainable Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 54.23  or more in 90 days
 58.91 90 days 54.23 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sustainable Equity to drop to $ 54.23  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sustainable Equity Fund probability density function shows the probability of Sustainable Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sustainable Equity price to stay between $ 54.23  and its current price of $58.91 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sustainable Equity has a beta of 0.75. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Sustainable Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sustainable Equity Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sustainable Equity Fund has an alpha of 0.0445, implying that it can generate a 0.0445 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sustainable Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sustainable Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sustainable Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.5559.2459.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.3260.7961.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.3459.0359.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55.6457.6259.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sustainable Equity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sustainable Equity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sustainable Equity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sustainable Equity.

Sustainable Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sustainable Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sustainable Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sustainable Equity Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sustainable Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Sustainable Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sustainable Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sustainable Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.81% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Sustainable Equity Technical Analysis

Sustainable Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sustainable Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sustainable Equity Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sustainable Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sustainable Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Sustainable Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sustainable Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sustainable Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sustainable Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sustainable Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sustainable Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.81% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Sustainable Mutual Fund

Sustainable Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sustainable Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sustainable with respect to the benefits of owning Sustainable Equity security.
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