ASSOC BR (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.06
| AFO2 Stock | EUR 26.60 0.60 2.21% |
ASSOC |
ASSOC BR Target Price Odds to finish below 25.06
The tendency of ASSOC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 25.06 or more in 90 days |
| 26.60 | 90 days | 25.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASSOC BR to drop to € 25.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ASSOC BR FOODS probability density function shows the probability of ASSOC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ASSOC BR FOODS price to stay between € 25.06 and its current price of €26.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ASSOC BR will likely underperform. Additionally ASSOC BR FOODS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ASSOC BR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ASSOC BR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASSOC BR FOODS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ASSOC BR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASSOC BR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASSOC BR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASSOC BR FOODS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASSOC BR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
ASSOC BR Technical Analysis
ASSOC BR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASSOC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASSOC BR FOODS. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASSOC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ASSOC BR Predictive Forecast Models
ASSOC BR's time-series forecasting models is one of many ASSOC BR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ASSOC BR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ASSOC BR in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ASSOC BR's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ASSOC BR options trading.
Other Information on Investing in ASSOC Stock
ASSOC BR financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASSOC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASSOC with respect to the benefits of owning ASSOC BR security.