Aberdeen Global Dynamic Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 11.91
| AGD Fund | USD 10.16 0.05 0.49% |
Aberdeen |
Aberdeen Global Target Price Odds to finish over 11.91
The tendency of Aberdeen Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.91 or more in 90 days |
| 10.16 | 90 days | 11.91 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aberdeen Global to move over $ 11.91 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Aberdeen Global Dynamic probability density function shows the probability of Aberdeen Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aberdeen Global Dynamic price to stay between its current price of $ 10.16 and $ 11.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.56 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Aberdeen Global has a beta of 0.44. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aberdeen Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aberdeen Global Dynamic will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aberdeen Global Dynamic has an alpha of 0.0026, implying that it can generate a 0.002615 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aberdeen Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Global Dynamic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aberdeen Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aberdeen Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aberdeen Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aberdeen Global Dynamic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aberdeen Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Aberdeen Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aberdeen Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aberdeen Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aberdeen Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Aberdeen Global Technical Analysis
Aberdeen Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aberdeen Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aberdeen Global Dynamic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aberdeen Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aberdeen Global Predictive Forecast Models
Aberdeen Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aberdeen Global's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aberdeen Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Aberdeen Global in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Aberdeen Global's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Aberdeen Global options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Fund
Aberdeen Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Global security.
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