AgriBank Securities (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17,323
| AGR Stock | 17,150 350.00 2.00% |
AgriBank |
AgriBank Securities Target Price Odds to finish below 17,323
The tendency of AgriBank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 17,150 | 90 days | 17,150 | about 15.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AgriBank Securities to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 15.1 (This AgriBank Securities JSC probability density function shows the probability of AgriBank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AgriBank Securities has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AgriBank Securities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AgriBank Securities JSC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AgriBank Securities JSC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AgriBank Securities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AgriBank Securities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AgriBank Securities JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AgriBank Securities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AgriBank Securities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AgriBank Securities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AgriBank Securities JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AgriBank Securities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 675.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
AgriBank Securities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AgriBank Securities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AgriBank Securities JSC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AgriBank Securities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
AgriBank Securities Technical Analysis
AgriBank Securities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AgriBank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AgriBank Securities JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing AgriBank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AgriBank Securities Predictive Forecast Models
AgriBank Securities' time-series forecasting models is one of many AgriBank Securities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AgriBank Securities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AgriBank Securities JSC
Checking the ongoing alerts about AgriBank Securities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AgriBank Securities JSC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AgriBank Securities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in AgriBank Stock
AgriBank Securities financial ratios help investors to determine whether AgriBank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AgriBank with respect to the benefits of owning AgriBank Securities security.