Armada Hflr Pr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.97
| AHH Stock | USD 10.83 0.16 1.46% |
Armada |
Armada Hflr Target Price Odds to finish over 10.97
The tendency of Armada Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.97 or more in 90 days |
| 10.83 | 90 days | 10.97 | about 65.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Armada Hflr to move over $ 10.97 or more in 90 days from now is about 65.32 (This Armada Hflr Pr probability density function shows the probability of Armada Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Armada Hflr Pr price to stay between its current price of $ 10.83 and $ 10.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.02 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Armada Hflr has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Armada Hflr average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Armada Hflr Pr will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Armada Hflr Pr has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Armada Hflr Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Armada Hflr
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Armada Hflr Pr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Armada Hflr Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Armada Hflr is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Armada Hflr's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Armada Hflr Pr, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Armada Hflr within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Armada Hflr Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Armada Hflr for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Armada Hflr Pr can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Armada Hflr Pr generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Dennis Gartman Increases Stake in Armada Hoffler Properties Inc |
Armada Hflr Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Armada Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Armada Hflr's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Armada Hflr's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.9 M |
Armada Hflr Technical Analysis
Armada Hflr's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Armada Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Armada Hflr Pr. In general, you should focus on analyzing Armada Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Armada Hflr Predictive Forecast Models
Armada Hflr's time-series forecasting models is one of many Armada Hflr's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Armada Hflr's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Armada Hflr Pr
Checking the ongoing alerts about Armada Hflr for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Armada Hflr Pr help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Armada Hflr Pr generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Dennis Gartman Increases Stake in Armada Hoffler Properties Inc |
Check out Armada Hflr Backtesting, Armada Hflr Valuation, Armada Hflr Correlation, Armada Hflr Hype Analysis, Armada Hflr Volatility, Armada Hflr History as well as Armada Hflr Performance. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armada Hflr. If investors know Armada will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armada Hflr listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | Dividend Share 0.81 | Earnings Share (0.22) | Revenue Per Share 11.212 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.13 |
The market value of Armada Hflr Pr is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armada that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armada Hflr's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armada Hflr's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armada Hflr's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armada Hflr's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armada Hflr's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Armada Hflr is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armada Hflr's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.