Apiam Animal (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.48
| AHX Stock | 0.39 0.03 7.14% |
Apiam |
Apiam Animal Target Price Odds to finish over 0.48
The tendency of Apiam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.48 or more in 90 days |
| 0.39 | 90 days | 0.48 | about 34.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apiam Animal to move over 0.48 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.8 (This Apiam Animal Health probability density function shows the probability of Apiam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apiam Animal Health price to stay between its current price of 0.39 and 0.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Apiam Animal has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Apiam Animal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Apiam Animal Health will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Apiam Animal Health has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Apiam Animal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Apiam Animal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apiam Animal Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Apiam Animal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apiam Animal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apiam Animal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apiam Animal Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apiam Animal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Apiam Animal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apiam Animal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apiam Animal Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Apiam Animal Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Apiam Animal Health has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Apiam Animal Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Apiam Animal Health has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Apiam Animal Health Issues New Performance Rights - TipRanks |
Apiam Animal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apiam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apiam Animal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apiam Animal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 182 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Apiam Animal Technical Analysis
Apiam Animal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apiam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apiam Animal Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apiam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Apiam Animal Predictive Forecast Models
Apiam Animal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apiam Animal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apiam Animal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Apiam Animal Health
Checking the ongoing alerts about Apiam Animal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apiam Animal Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Apiam Animal Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Apiam Animal Health has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Apiam Animal Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Apiam Animal Health has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Apiam Animal Health Issues New Performance Rights - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Apiam Stock Analysis
When running Apiam Animal's price analysis, check to measure Apiam Animal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apiam Animal is operating at the current time. Most of Apiam Animal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apiam Animal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apiam Animal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apiam Animal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.