AUTHUM INVESTMENT (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1707.25
| AIIL Stock | 1,776 51.80 2.83% |
AUTHUM |
AUTHUM INVESTMENT Target Price Odds to finish below 1707.25
The tendency of AUTHUM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,707 or more in 90 days |
| 1,776 | 90 days | 1,707 | about 55.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AUTHUM INVESTMENT to drop to 1,707 or more in 90 days from now is about 55.03 (This AUTHUM INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTU probability density function shows the probability of AUTHUM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AUTHUM INVESTMENT price to stay between 1,707 and its current price of 1775.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AUTHUM INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTU has a beta of -0.18. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AUTHUM INVESTMENT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AUTHUM INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTU is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AUTHUM INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTU has an alpha of 0.1862, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AUTHUM INVESTMENT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AUTHUM INVESTMENT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AUTHUM INVESTMENT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AUTHUM INVESTMENT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AUTHUM INVESTMENT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AUTHUM INVESTMENT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AUTHUM INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTU, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AUTHUM INVESTMENT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 94.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
AUTHUM INVESTMENT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AUTHUM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AUTHUM INVESTMENT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AUTHUM INVESTMENT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 169.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.6 B |
AUTHUM INVESTMENT Technical Analysis
AUTHUM INVESTMENT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AUTHUM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AUTHUM INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTU. In general, you should focus on analyzing AUTHUM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AUTHUM INVESTMENT Predictive Forecast Models
AUTHUM INVESTMENT's time-series forecasting models is one of many AUTHUM INVESTMENT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AUTHUM INVESTMENT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AUTHUM INVESTMENT in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AUTHUM INVESTMENT's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AUTHUM INVESTMENT options trading.
Additional Tools for AUTHUM Stock Analysis
When running AUTHUM INVESTMENT's price analysis, check to measure AUTHUM INVESTMENT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AUTHUM INVESTMENT is operating at the current time. Most of AUTHUM INVESTMENT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AUTHUM INVESTMENT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AUTHUM INVESTMENT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AUTHUM INVESTMENT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.