Acadia Realty Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.40
| AKR Stock | USD 25.85 0.23 0.88% |
Acadia |
Acadia Realty Target Price Odds to finish below 20.40
The tendency of Acadia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.40 or more in 90 days |
| 25.85 | 90 days | 20.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acadia Realty to drop to $ 20.40 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Acadia Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Acadia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acadia Realty Trust price to stay between $ 20.40 and its current price of $25.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Acadia Realty has a beta of 0.52. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Acadia Realty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acadia Realty Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acadia Realty Trust has an alpha of 0.1774, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Acadia Realty Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Acadia Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acadia Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Acadia Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acadia Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acadia Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acadia Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acadia Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Acadia Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acadia Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acadia Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 338.69 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.75 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 192.46 M. | |
| Acadia Realty Trust has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Acadia Realty paid $ 0.19 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kenneth McIntyre of 5862 shares of Acadia Realty subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Acadia Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acadia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acadia Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acadia Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.8 M |
Acadia Realty Technical Analysis
Acadia Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acadia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acadia Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acadia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Acadia Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Acadia Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acadia Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acadia Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Acadia Realty Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Acadia Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acadia Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 338.69 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.75 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 192.46 M. | |
| Acadia Realty Trust has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Acadia Realty paid $ 0.19 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kenneth McIntyre of 5862 shares of Acadia Realty subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Acadia Stock Analysis
When running Acadia Realty's price analysis, check to measure Acadia Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acadia Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Acadia Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acadia Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acadia Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acadia Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.